With plenty of respect to my fellow Virginian Ken, this race is nowhere near over. To begin, I'll quote this bit of reporting from Marc Ambinder from this week:
For their part, Obama aides declined to characterize McCain's electoral strategy. They fear that Obama's numbers are artificially high, and that the race will tighten somewhat before November 4. They also worry that McCain, who's been running a mix of positive and negative television ads, will dump his money into an entirely negative campaign in October, one that would question Obama's fitness, patriotism and identity.
Yes, we have wonderful national poll numbers right now. Yes, Obama is surging (and in many places leading) in the battleground states. Yes, we have a unmatched ground game, a wide enthusiasm gap, and millions of new registered voters who want change.